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How Planners Can Refocus Their Thinking to Incorporate the Future into Plans
Acquiring the skills of foresight and futures literacy helps planners to confidently prepare for an uncertain tomorrow.by: Patrick Sisson August 17, 2023Acquiring the skills of foresight and futures literacy helps planners to confidently prepare for an uncertain tomorrow. -
Robert Goodspeed Plans for Uncertain Futures Using Exploratory Scenario Planning
On local or global scales, XSP broadens planning tools to bring into view the outside forces that shape planning.by: Joseph DeAngelis, AICP July 27, 2023On local or global scales, XSP broadens planning tools to bring into view the outside forces that shape planning. -
2025 Trend Report for Planners
by: Petra Hurtado, PhD, Ievgeniia Dulko, Joseph DeAngelis, AICP, Senna Catenacci, Sagar Shah, PhD, January 29, 2025The 2025 Trend Report features a list of over 100 existing, emerging, and potential future trends that the APA Foresight team and our Trend Scouting Foresight Community identified as relevant to planning. -
Smart City Digital Twins Are a New Tool for Scenario Planning
Digitalization and virtual simulation of entire cities can help planners experiment with solutions to meet complex problems.by: Petra Hurtado, PhD, Alexsandra Gomez April 01, 2021Many plans and policies would benefit from undergoing a test stage before implementation. Up until now, the options to do so have been fairly limited. Smart city digital twins promise to change that by allowing planners to explore solutions in a controlled environment that mimics the real city. -
The Use of Foresight and Scenario Planning in Hazard Mitigation and Climate Adaptation Planning
PAS Memo 113by: Petra Hurtado, PhD, Joseph DeAngelis, AICPThis PAS Memo offers guidance to planners on how to expand their use of foresight through exploratory scenario planning in both the hazard mitigation and climate adaptation fields.Nonmembers$0.00APA members & PAS subscribers$0.00 -
Integrating Ecosystem Services Analysis into Scenario Planning Practice: Accounting for Street Tree Benefits with i-Tree Valuation in Central Texas
Journal of Environmental Management 146(2014): 524-534, 2014This article examines the benefits of public street trees for alternative future development scenarios and assesses the use of i-Tree as a model tool. -
Demographic Forecasting by Race and Ethnicity
January 2022This article outlines population and demographic forecasting to better inform planning decisions and ensure capital planning investments are equitable and sustainable. -
Scenario Planning – an Overview
Urban Planning and Design Branch, June 2012This article explains what scenario planning is and the difference between normative and exploratory approaches to scenario planning. -
Empowering Scenario Planning with Artificial Intelligence: A Perspective on Building Smart and Resilient Cities
Engineering, July 2024This article examines the potential of including artificial intelligence (AI) to assist in scenario planning practices. -
Participatory Mapping in Exploratory Scenario Planning: Necessity or Luxury?
Futures 160, June 2024This article explores how participatory mapping processes can be used in exploratory scenario planning. -
Managing Risk and Uncertainty: Collaborative Approaches for Climate Change
Land Lines, July 2012by: Elizabeth Fierman, Patrick Field, Stephen AldrichThis article explains how scenario planning can be used in collaborative decision-making processes to mitigate climate change. -
Uncertainty and Risk: Building a Resilient West
Land Lines, January 2013by: Erika Mahoney, Hannah OliverThis article discusses scenario planning and other tools designed to help communities plan and prepare for climate change. -
Scenario Planning Tools for Sustainable Communities
Land Lines, October 2011by: Jim Holway, FAICPThis article introduces the concept of using scenario planning to enhance sustainability. -
Enhancing the Role of Participatory Scenario Planning Processes: Lessons from Reality Check Exercises
Futures, 43(4): 387-399, 2011by: Arnab Chakraborty, AICPThis article assesses the success of scenario planning exercises as a participatory planning tool. -
Embracing Uncertainty: Exploratory Scenario Planning (XSP) in Southwest Colorado
Land Lines, April 2016by: John WihbyThis article profiles a scenario planning effort in southwestern Colorado focusing on varying drought conditions. -
No Little Plans: The Evolution of the Comprehensive Plan
Land Lines, April 2017by: Kathleen McCormickThis article belongs to the Comprehensive Planning and Scenario Planning collections. -
Integrating Scenario Planning and Cost‐Benefit Methods
The Hastings Center Report, 48(51): S65-S69, 2018by: Stephen AldrichThis article offers a primer on writing scenarios for scenario planning exercises. -
Meeting Climate, Mobility, and Equity Goals in Transportation Planning Under Wide-Ranging Scenarios
Journal of the American Planning Association, 86(3): 311–323, 2020by: Robert Lempert, James Syme, George MazurThis article demonstrates using robust decision making (RDM) for long-range transportation planning. -
Modeling Sustainability Scenarios in the Baltimore–Washington (DC) Region
Journal of the American Planning Association, 86(2): 250-263, 2020by: Gerrit Knaap, Daniel Engelberg, Uri Avin, FAICPThis article presents the results of an exploratory scenario planning excercise for the Greater Baltimore-Washington, D.C. area. -
Using Exploratory Scenarios in Planning Practice
Journal of the American Planning Association, 86(4): 403-416, 2020by: Uri Avin, FAICP, Robert Goodspeed, AICPThis article explores how planners can use exploratory scenario planning in different types of planning processes. -
Land Use‚ Transportation Scenarios and Future Vehicle Travel and Land Consumption: A Meta-Analysis
Journal of the American Planning Association, 75(1): 13-27, 2008by: Keith Bartholomew, Reid EwingThis article examines compact growth scenarios in existing scenario plans to estimate likely vehicle miles traveled (VMT) reductions. -
Robust Plans and Contingent Plans: Scenario Planning for an Uncertain World
Journal of the American Planning Association, 77(3): 251-266, 2011by: Arnab Chakraborty, AICP, Nikhil Kaza, Gerrit KnaapThis article discusses how planners can integrate uncertainty into scenario planning. -
Getting Scenario-Building Right
Planning, November 2001by: Uri Avin, FAICP, Jane DemberThis article introduces the concept of scenario-building in the context of local and regional planning. -
Scenario Planning for Urban Planners: Toward a Practitioners Guide
Journal of the American Planning Association, 81(1): 18-29, 2015by: Arnab Chakraborty, AICP, Andrew McMillanThis article presents a typology of scenario planning practices. -
Exploratory Scenario Planning
The Commissioner, Winter 2014by: Hannah OliverThis article defines the concept of exploratory scenario planning and highlights two examples of exploratory scenario planning initiatives. -
Land Use-Transportation Scenario Planning: Promise and Reality
Transportation, 34(4): 397-412, 2007by: Keith BartholomewThis article evaluates the quality of existing scenario plans. -
The Use of Scenarios in Land-Use Planning
Environment and Planning B, 30(6): 885-909, 2003by: Wei-Ning Xiang, Keith ClarkeThis article examines the concepts, functions, credentials, and efficacy of land-development scenarios. -
Scenario Planning
Public Roads, September/October 2005by: Sherry Ways, Cynthia BurbankThis article provides an overview of scenario planning and its use in regional transportation planning. -
Overcoming Obstacles to Effective Scenario Planning
Strategy & Corporate Finance Insights, June 2015by: Drew Erdmann, Bernardo Sichel, Luk YeungThis article discusses how to overcome common pitfalls in organizational scenario planning. -
Living in the Futures
Harvard Business Review, May 2013by: Angela Wilkinson, Roland KupersThis article offers advice for corporate scenario planning. -
Scenario Planning and Strategic Forecasting
Stratfor, January 8, 2015by: Jay OgilvyThis article discusses scenario planning for geopolitical decision making. -
Scenario Planning for Urban Planners: Toward a Practitioner's Guide
Journal of the American Planning Association 81(1): 18-29, 2015by: Arnab Chakraborty, AICP, Andrew McMillanThis article describes the building blocks of scenario planning to help planners understand how to use it as a tool. -
Lessons Learned About Planning: Forecasting, Participation, and Technology
Journal of the American Planning Association 79(2): 161-169, 2014by: Richard KlostermanThis article discusses the need for future oriented planning but recognizes that forecasting is difficult. -
Beyond Plans: Scenario Planning as a Tool for Regional Capacity Building
Journal of the American Planning Association 88(4): 524-536, 2022by: Arnab Chakraborty, AICP, Stephen ShermanThis article explores regional scenario planning practices and the influence it has on local plans within the region. -
From Exploratory Scenarios to Plans: Bridging the Gap
Planning Theory & Practice 23(4): 637-646, 2022by: Uri Avin, FAICP, Robert Goodspeed, AICP, Lily MurnenThis article describes how exploratory scenario planning can be used to create plans. -
Using Exploratory Scenarios in Planning Practice: A Spectrum of Approaches
Journal of the American Planning Association 86(4): 403-416, 2020by: Uri Avin, FAICP, Robert Goodspeed, AICPThis article illustrates different approaches to using exploratory planning in plan making contexts. -
From Forecasts to Scenarios in Strategic City-Regional Land-Use and Transportation Planning
Regional Studies 57(4): 629-641, 2021by: Raine Mantysalo, Kaisa Granqvist, Oya DumanThis article proposes a framework for scenario planning approaches for land-use and transportation planning. -
An Overview of Scenario Approaches: A Guide for Urban Design and Planning
Journal of Planning Literature 37(3): 467-487by: Grace Jaude, Olaf Mumm, Vanessa CarlowThis article reviews different approaches and methods used for scenario planning. -
How to Design Your Scenario Planning Process
PAS Memo — July-August 2019by: Janae Futrell, AICP July 01, 2019The July-August 2019 PAS Memo guides planners through the steps of scenario planning process design and includes a workbook to help create a roadmap for a scenario planning effort.List Price$0.00APA members & PAS subscribers$0.00 -
Advancing Scenario Planning through Integrating Urban Growth Prediction with Future Flood Risk Models
Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 82: 1-30, 2020This article advances scenario planning by including flood risk scenarios with urban growth prediction models. -
Best-Case Scenario Planning
Incorporating AV and other technology into plans.Change and uncertainty — from technology to climate change to shifts in the economy — are disrupting the planning tradition of mid- and long-range forecasts. Scenario planning can be a powerful tool for incorporating uncertainty. -
The Impossible Task of Mapping the Future
Absent a crystal ball, the enormously complex region uses scenario planning tools to determine how it should grow.January 01, 2017The enormously complex New York region uses scenario planning tools to determine how it should grow. -
Tech for Scenario Planning
October 01, 2019Scenario planning has grown in acceptance and impact over the past decade, fueled in part by innovations in software. -
Out of the Box, Into the Scenario
Enlisting a powerful tool to address the future of freight.June 01, 2015Freight planner Daniel Haake explores scenario-planning methods currently being used to plan domestic and international freight travel. -
The Commissioner — December 2014
In this PDF of The Commissioner's December 2014 issue: "Exploratory Scenario Planning," "Reducing Bias on Zoning Boards," "Wetlands Wisdom," and more.List price$5.00Members & subscribers$0.00
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